The anatomy
of almost.
Federer won fourteen more points.
Djokovic won Wimbledon.
The anatomy
Federer Djokovic1 ball = 1 point
Roger Federer 218Novak Djokovic 204
Points won. The whole match.
One match.
A closer reading.
Real.
Concentrated.
Federer’s point advantage was real. Its distribution matters.
The entire net fourteen-point surplus sits in a single, 38-point set. Across the other four sets, the total was even. Within those four, opposing margins cancel.
That does not erase the second set. Federer also won more games, 36–32. It does mean the full-match point total alone cannot establish sustained dominance.
Challenge the argumentEvery point.
Still here.
Keep the whole match. Inspect the cut.
All points · 422/422 · Federer 218 / Djokovic 204
Challenge the cut:
Original record & definitions
Set and game scores use Federer / Djokovic order. The source’s point score uses server / returner order; the display above normalizes it. Scores describe the state before the point. TbSet describes the set’s rules, not whether this point is a tiebreak point.
The evidence.
Its limits.
This is a distribution of recorded points, not a verdict on who deserved to win. It cannot establish intent, nerves or what would have happened without set two. Tiebreaks are not all consequential points: Federer’s two championship points sit outside that group.
The 192–192 finding was published in July 2019. This experiment investigates how to make it inspectable. Sackmann’s contemporary leverage analysis examines a different, modeled question; those modeled values are not used here.
422 Match Charting Project records, charted by Zindaras. Original match report · CC BY-NC-SA 4.0. Frozen specimen; point order, not elapsed time. The sculptural court and grass material are illustrative. Equal court sections name sets; their area does not encode point totals or shot locations. Full source identity and hash are included with this disposable experiment.